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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.New york Fed: Neil will be a senior consultant until he leaves.The "2024 Congdu International Forum" was held in Madrid, Spain, and the "2024 Congdu International Forum" co-sponsored by the Chinese People's Association for Friendship with Foreign Countries, the Australian-China Friendship Exchange Association, the Guangdong Provincial People's Government and the World Leaders Alliance was held in Madrid, Spain from 11th to 12th.

The Hang Seng Index closed down 1.23% overnight at 20,219.000 points. The Hang Seng Technology Index closed down 1.41% at 4,556.00 points overnight.On Thursday (December 12), the won finally fell 0.05% against the US dollar to 1,429.98 won, which was as low as 1,434.70 won at 10:53 Beijing time.Chicago corn futures fell by 1%, while wheat, soybean meal and soybean oil fell by 0.8% at most. In late new york on Thursday (December 12), the Bloomberg Grain Sub-index fell by 0.63% to 31.7965 points. CBOT corn futures fell 1.00% to 4.43-3/4 USD/bushel. CBOT wheat futures fell 0.80% to $ 5.58-3/4 a bushel. CBOT soybean futures were roughly flat at $ 10.02-1/2 per bushel, while soybean meal futures fell by 0.70% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.50%.

Uruguay's GDP in the third quarter increased by 4.1% year on year.New york street folk "wanted order" aggravates business panic. In addition to the killed CEO, there are also financial executives. new york police are investigating the so-called "wanted order" posted on the streets of Manhattan aimed at business executives. On these "wanted orders", in addition to Brian Thompson, a senior figure of insurance giant UnitedHealth Group Inc, who was shot dead in the street last Wednesday, there are also portraits of senior executives of financial enterprises. Thompson's photo was marked with a red cross. This is the latest in a series of events that caused anxiety among business leaders after Thompson was shot. A spokesman for the new york Police Department said that in addition to these notices, there has been a surge in online threats against corporate executives. Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old man accused of Thompson's murder, was arrested with a declaration condemning the profiteering of the medical industry, saying that "these parasites are purely asking for it". According to a law enforcement agency document, new york police said that they were on high alert for "the risk that extremists of all colors may regard Mangione as a martyr and follow an example". "These arguments may indicate that the threats faced by executives will intensify in the short term," the document said.Boeing shares rose 1.3% in the afternoon. In the news, Boeing said it plans to increase the production of 787 to 10 aircraft per month by 2026.